An intimate, confidential gathering of influencers in a private dialogue about risks and opportunities in a rapidly changing global landscape.
17 September 2024
THE METROPOLITAN CLUB
NEW YORK CITY
Distinguished Leaders & Speakers
We have been fortunate to learn from some of the world’s greatest leaders in foreign affairs and business at the Global Flashpoints Roundtable over the past several years. The caliber and prominence of our chairs and featured speakers are one of the many ways the Roundtable stands apart from traditional conferences. We look forward to the unique insights and perspectives our distinguished guests will share this year.
LTG H.R. McMaster (Ret.)*
Former White House National Security Advisor
Hon. Kay Bailey Hutchison*
US Representative to NATO, 2017-21; US Senator from Texas, 1993-2013
Gen. Michael Hayden (Ret.)*
Former Director of CIA and NSA
Barry Sternlicht*
Founder of Starwood Hotels and Resorts Worldwide and Starwood Capital Group
Rep. Austin Scott
US Representative from Georgia
Brad Raffensperger
Georgia Secretary of State
Amb. Max Baucus
US Ambassador to China, 2014-17; Senator from Montana, 1978-2014
Alondra Nelson
Former Director, White House Office of Science and Technology Policy
Sir Julian King
UK European Commissioner, 2016-19
Gunnar Wiegand
Managing Director for Asia-Pacific, European External Action Service, 2016-23
Rep. Liz Cheney
US Representative from Wyoming, 2017-23
Hon. Yeo Han-Koo
South Korea Minister of Trade, 2021-22
Olexandr Dnylyuk
Former National Security Secretary and Minister of Finance, Ukraine
Amb. Frank Wisner
Former Undersecretary of State and Defense
KT zu Guttenberg
Former German Minister of Defense and Minister of Economics and Technology
Sen. George Mitchell
Former US Senate Majority Leader and Peace Negotiator
Gen. Glen VanHerck
Commander, NORTHCOM and NORAD, 2020-24
Sen. Saxby Chambliss
Former Ranking Member of Senate Select Committee on Intelligence
Karen Pierce
UK Ambassador to the United States
Reince Priebus
Former White House Chief of Staff
Kevin Rudd
Former Prime Minister of Austra
James Baker
Director, Office of Net Assessment, US Department of Defense
Sen. Joe Manchin
Senator from West Virginia
About
The world has changed dramatically in the last several years, and the challenges we face today are more numerous and complicated than they have been in generations. Shifting political, economic, social, and public health forces have created an international business environment that is unfamiliar and unpredictable.
Today, it is not only governments that must develop strategies to safeguard their global interests. Because their influence and control of resources is greater than in any other period in history, firms must have domestic and foreign policies as well.
In crafting their policies, CEOs and heads of state must make decisions that could have repercussions for years to come. They need counsel, based on accurate, actionable intelligence, from trusted senior advisors to understand dynamic geopolitical factors, many of which affect business and government equally.
Ergo, a leading global intelligence and advisory firm, has been providing bespoke access to critical information and this generation’s greatest strategic thinkers to the world’s leading companies and governments for nearly two decades. Once a year, we bring together these unique assets—our intelligence, our experts, and our clients—for a one-of-a-kind private working group on the issues and individuals who matter most.
Modeled on and leveraging the success of our previous events, Ergo’s 2024 Global Flashpoints Roundtable will be an exclusive, invitation-only session open only to the most influential leaders of the world’s most powerful companies and consequential government bodies. This intimate, off-the-record gathering will be limited to approximately 200 top executives of the largest corporations, banks, and investment firms, as well as to a handful of current and former officials from the highest ranks of the U.S. and other governments.
The theme of the 2024 Roundtable is “The Fastest Year In History”—evidenced by the seismic shifts set in motion by unprecedented economic and military conflicts underway among and within the world’s great powers and their impact on business operations and markets.
Agenda
Note: This is a draft agenda and is subject to change. Some speakers listed have not yet confirmed attendance. This draft agenda should not be distributed; it is intended only to provide a sense of our current planning as of November 2023.
The general structure of the 2024 Roundtable will be updated to offer a variety of panel discussions, keynote speeches, and interactive sessions. While maintaining elements of our traditional “Oval Office briefing” model, where experts brief and engage with a “principal” on critical global issues, we will introduce several new formats, each tailored to leverage the unique insights of the speakers and encourage interaction to provide the greatest possible value to our attendees. Throughout the day, Ergo experts will share their current intelligence, perspectives, predictions, and recommendations on the world’s most pressing issues.
7:15-8:00am
Breakfast and Registration
8:00-8:05am
Ground Rules and Goals
R.P. Eddy, CEO, Ergo
8:10-8:55am
Desert Storms: The Middle East Ablaze
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Zohar Palti, Director of Policy & Political-Military Bureau, Israel Ministry of Defense, 2017-22; Head of Mossad Intelligence Directorate, 2014-16
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Rep. Austin Scott (R-GA), Member, House Armed Services Committee
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Ted Singer, CIA Station Chief and Head of Middle East Operations, 1988-2023
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Frank Wisner, Former US Ambassador to Egypt, Undersecretary of State, and Undersecretary of Defense
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Principal: Linda Weissgold, CIA Deputy Director of Analysis, 2020-23; Head of Middle East Analytical Units, 2001-20
9:00-9:30am
The Kingmaker Who Would Be King
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Sen. Joe Manchin (D-WV), Chairman, Senate Committee on Energy and Natural Resources
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In conversation with Chris Stadler, Managing Partner, CVC Capital Partners
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9:35-10:25am
Humanity’s Final Invention: The Coming AI Tsunami
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Tim Hwang, Former Global AI Public Policy Lead, Google; Former Director, Harvard-MIT Ethics and Governance of AI Initiative
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Wasim Khaled, CEO and Co-Founder, Blackbird.AI
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Michael Kratsios, Chief Technology Officer of the United States, 2019-21; Managing Director and Head of Strategy, Scale AI
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Alondra Nelson, Acting Director, White House Office of Science and Technology Policy, 2021-23
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Principal: Sophie Goossens, AI Policy Lead and Partner, Reed Smith
10:25-10:45am
BREAK
10:45-11:10am
Keynote: The Presidency and a World in Crisis
H.R. McMaster, White House National Security Advisor, 2017-18; Chairman, Ergo Flashpoints
11:15-11:40am
The Talons of a China Hawk
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Rep. Mike Gallagher (R-WI), Chairman, House Select Committee on the Chinese Communist Part
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In conversation with Clete Willems, Deputy Asst. to the President for International Economics, Deputy Dir., White House National Economic Council, 2018-19; Partner, Akin
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11:45am-12:35pm
Are You With Me: Will America Go It Alone on China?
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Amb. Julian King, Final British Commissioner to EU, 2016-19; Senior Advisor, Flint Global
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Gunnar Wiegand, Managing Director for Asia-Pacific, EU Diplomatic Service (EEAS), 2016-23; Senior Fellow, GMF
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Hon. Han-Koo Yeo, South Korean Minister of Trade, 2021-22 and Senior Fellow, Peterson Institute for International Economics
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Principal: Amb. Paula Dobriansky, US Undersecretary of State for Global Affairs, 2001-09; Vice Chair, Atlantic Council Scowcroft Center for Strategy & Security
12:40-1:40pm
LUNCH
Presentation of the 2023 Michael V. Hayden Award for Courage, Service, and Patriotism
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Elizabeth Cheney, US Representative (R-WY), 2017-23; Vice Chair, House January 6 Committee, 2021-23
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Award presented by Michael Hayden, CIA Director, 2006-09; NSA Director, 1999-2005 and R.P. Eddy, CEO, Ergo
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In conversation with Evan Pressman, Managing Partner, Head of Flashpoints Forum, Ergo
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1:45-2:35pm
It’s the (Geopolitical) Economy, Stupid: Winning in Volatile Markets
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Scott Bessent, Founder, KeySquare Capital
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Dambisa Moyo, Economist, Author, and Investor; Member of the UK House of Lords
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Clete Willems, Deputy Assistant to the President for International Economics, Deputy Director, White House National Economic Council, 2018-19; Partner, Akin
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Principal: Jonathan Hausman, Executive Managing Director, Global Investment Strategy, Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan
2:40-3:30pm
Bend or Break: US Democracy Bracing for a Hard Landing
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Reggie Babin, Chief Counsel to Senate Majority Leader Charles Schumer, 2017-22; Senior Counsel, Akin
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Brendan Dunn, Top Advisor to Senate Minority Leader McConnell, 2012-18; Partner, Akin
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Katie Harbath, Public Policy Director and Elections Lead, Meta, 2011-21; Chief Digital Strategist, National Republican Senatorial Committee, 2009-11
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Mary McCord, Acting Assistant Attorney General for National Security, 2016-17
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Brad Raffensperger, Georgia Secretary of State
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Principal: Mo Elleithee, Communications Director, Democratic National Committee, 2013-15; Founding Director, Georgetown Institute of Politics and Public Service
3:35-4:25pm
Europe’s Front Line: The Future and Legacy of Putin’s War in Ukraine
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Oleksandr Dnylyuk, Ukrainian Minister of Finance, 2014-16; Secretary of Ukraine’s National Security and Defense Council, 2019
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Vladimir Milov, Russian Deputy Minister of Energy, 2002; Chair of Russian Political Party Democratic Choice, 2012-15
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Britt Mosman, Attorney-Advisor at OFAC; Lead Attorney on Iran and Russia-Ukraine Sanctions Programs, 2019-20
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KT zu Guttenberg, German Minister of Defense and Minister for Economics and Technology, 2009-11
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Principal: H.R. McMaster, White House National Security Advisor, 2017-18; Chairman, Ergo Flashpoints Forum
4:25-4:45pm
BREAK
4:45-5:35pm
Should I Stay Or Should I Go: Is China Still Investible
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Max Baucus, US Ambassador to China, 2014-17; US Senator, 1978-2014
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Laura Black, Inaugural Director of Policy and International Relations, Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS), 2018-22; Senior Counsel, Akin
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Liza Tobin, Director for China, White House National Security Council, 2019-21
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Shang-Jin Wei, Chief Economist, Asian Development Bank, 2014-16
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Principal: X. Rick Niu, US-Asia Investor; Co-Founder, The Impact Council
5:35-6:25pm
Interactive Simulation: Wargaming US-China-Taiwan Conflict
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Adm. Mark Montgomery (Ret.), Director of Operations, US Pacific Command, 2014-17
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Travis Whitworth, CIA Chief of Several East Asia Analytical Units, 2000-22
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Facilitated by Edward Price, Principal, Ergo
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6:25-6:30pm
SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS
6:30-7:30pm
COCKTAILS AND HORS D’OEUVRES
2023 Partners
Attendees
The Global Flashpoints Roundtable is an invitation-only event that is limited to senior executives from the world’s largest and most influential corporations, hedge funds, private equity firms, pension funds, and sovereign wealth funds. Attendees of previous Roundtables represent over $10T in market cap and over $7.7T in AUM.